Generation Brexit

NEW CHALLENGE: What happens if MPs reject Theresa May's deal?

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On Tuesday 11 December, the House of Commons will vote on the Withdrawal Agreement. At the moment, it looks as if Theresa May faces an incredibly hard job getting it passed. She leads a government with a working majority of just 13. Only seven Tory rebels are needed to defeat it.

Here is a summary of possible scenarios in the event of a government defeat https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-46320368

We want to know what you think the UK should do next if the Withdrawal Agreement is rejected.

  • A vote of confidence in the British government?
  • Theresa May resigns or is replaced as Prime Minister?
  • The people decide in either a general election or another referendum?
  • The UK tries to renegotiate with the EU?
  • The UK seeks an extension to the article 50 timeline (beyond the current March 2019 deadline)?
  • The UK join the EEA (the so called Norway option)?
  • The UK crashes out of the EU (leave without a deal) in March 2019?
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Obviously, the PM needs a majority in parliament in order to pass her deal through. However, with 37% of her parliamentary colleagues, Labour standing firm in opposition, unlikely support from any other opposition, including the DUP, it's not looking very bright for May's deal.  Surely she recognises that whatever deal she will put through, will be dead in the water. What do you think? Could there be a possibility that it could get through? 

Ryan Murphy
by Ryan Murphy (Admin)
0 Votes
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Ryan Murphy
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Ryan Murphy (Admin)

The Guardian  reports that a revised Brexit deal will be returned to the Parliament for vote by 21st January 2019. What I am interested in is that although May recognized the lack of faith in her purposed deal, she rejected any amendment to her deal prior to yesterday, on which she called off today’s vote. Shadow Minister Burgon questioned that if PM May “is holding the country to ransom.” During today’s debate in the House, Mr. Corbyn even asked May to “make way” for others who are more...

Haoyu Xu
by Haoyu Xu
1 Votes
Comments 1
Haoyu Xu

Even though I would like to see a second referendum, I also recognize the numerous issues that it would bring. Especially in the political field, a second referendum would not bring about a resolution but only more issues. According to PM Theresa May's argument during the first day of Brexit deal debates, "what would a second referendum say to the British constituents?" What would it say about the state of UK’s democracy if the biggest vote in British history were to be rerun because a...

Alex Tai
by Alex Tai
2 Votes
Comments 1
Alex Tai

According to an advocate general of the European Court of Justice, the UK should theoretically be able to pull out of Article 50 and stop its withdrawal from the EU, if it chose to do so. Although this opinion is not binding and the ECJ has yet to deliver its final ruling, this is a promising development and possibility for the UK, as it is extremely unlikely PM May’s withdrawal plan will pass through Parliament. Instead of risking the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, the British government...

Jessica Wang
by Jessica Wang
1 Votes
Comments 0
Jessica Wang

The coming week’s vote plays an important role in the future of British politics. While Brexit is definitely the main issue here, Prime minister Theresa May may have to resign if she loses the vote for the Brexit Deal by a large margin. Even if she doesn’t resign it is highly likely that the MP’s will force her to do so. So what happens to the leadership?  Further uncertainty will set in. Even though an interim leader will step in, the race for the permanent replacement will definitely take...

Pakhi Gupta
by Pakhi Gupta
2 Votes
Comments 0
Pakhi Gupta

Ultimately, the entire notion of a second referendum is highly unlikely because the EU will not risk losing political capital because of Britain's indecisiveness. Ultimately, the rise of populism and nationalism in the EU forces their EU member state leaders to represent their countries' interests as grandly as possible -- by allowing Britain to back out of its decision and push off the deadline so it can decide makes EU countries look weak. In an effort to avoid looking weak, the EU will...

Dev Devnani
by Dev Devnani
0 Votes
Comments 0
Dev Devnani

Work and pensions secretary Amber Rudd stated that plan b options would be viable in the case the Prime Minister May’s deal doesn’t pass. These plan b options include another referendum and the Norway plus option, which includes the UK staying in the European Economic Area. There is a lot of hope for the second referendum, since this would mean a chance that Brexit will not go through. This seems to be the more likely decision of the second referendum because now more aware of the effects...

Pakhi Gupta
by Pakhi Gupta
4 Votes
Comments 0
Pakhi Gupta
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See photo. 

Eduardo Scheuren
by Eduardo Scheuren
2 Votes
Comments 0
Eduardo Scheuren

No matter the potential trade deals that UK makes with other nations, they will not replace the level of trade with the EU. Furthermore, many of these trade partners would not be possible in the current geopolitical environment.  Trade with Russia is currently restricted under the economic sanctions due to both the Russian annexation of Crimea and the Russian spy agent poisoning in Britain. Trade deals with China would also be very difficult in the current environment given American...

Dev Devnani
by Dev Devnani
1 Votes
Comments 0
Dev Devnani

Today, PM May sent more than 30 ministers from her party to different areas of the country to campaign for the public’s approval to May’s Brexit deal. This may be a response to an amendment that restricts the backstop within one year period, tabled by backbenchers yesterday. The revised proposal has seemingly gained a tacit support in the House. The backstop has been under the spotlight throughout Brexit debates and negotiations. Recently, Tory MP Priti Patel suggest the UK to leverage the...

Haoyu Xu
by Haoyu Xu
2 Votes
Comments 0
Haoyu Xu
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